‘Getting to zero’ – the post-2015 development aim of eradicating extreme poverty by 2030 – involves not just ensuring that people currently in poverty escape from it but also that people do not fall into poverty in the future. Is there a ‘resilience threshold’: a line which, once people are living over, means that they are highly unlikely to live in poverty in the future? If such a threshold exists, what form does it take? Is it dependent upon achieving a certain level of income/expenditure; a particular number of years of education or access to a particular type of (informal) insurance arrangement? Using data from Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, South Africa, Tanzania and Uganda, this Oxfam GB and Chronic Poverty Advisory Network research report explores the multi-dimensional issue of resilience.
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